Scouting Report
Marty Reasoner holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Turris wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Reasoner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 49.1% vs Reasoner 51.9% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 62.3%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 72.6%
Neutral zone
Turris 60.0%
Result
Marty Reasoner favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Turris
Reasoner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Turris
Reasoner
Last 5: Turris 3-2 Reasoner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
1
0
Turris
Reasoner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turris
2
1
Turris
Reasoner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reasoner
0
1
Turris
Reasoner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Reasoner
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (648)
55.3% (244)
-5.0%
Power Play
41.1% (151)
100.0% (4)
-58.9%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (121)
35.3% (51)
+16.8%
On power play, Reasoner has a +58.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reasoner shoots left. Turris is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Turris shoots right. Reasoner is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Turris
Reasoner
Home
51.4% (453)
50.0% (142)
Away
46.7% (467)
54.8% (157)
By Period
Turris
Reasoner
P1
50.7%
49.0%
P2
50.5%
60.0%
P3
45.6%
48.5%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
49.0%
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 02:00 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 1 | 03:08 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 2 | 13:56 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 1 | 15:51 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |