Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Talbot on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Turris wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Talbot shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 51.2% vs Talbot 48.1% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 58.7%
Defensive zone
Talbot 83.4%
Neutral zone
Talbot 63.3%
Result
Max Talbot favored at 66.0%
34.0%
66.0%
Turris
Talbot
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Turris
Talbot
Last 6: Turris 2-4 Talbot
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
2
0
Turris
Talbot
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
0
3
Turris
Talbot
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Talbot
0
1
Turris
Talbot
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Talbot
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (801)
49.5% (285)
+1.4%
Power Play
54.4% (204)
57.1% (7)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (39)
35.8% (53)
+7.8%
On penalty kill, Turris has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Talbot shoots left. Turris is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Turris shoots right. Talbot is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (137).
Home / Away
Turris
Talbot
Home
55.6% (482)
47.8% (203)
Away
47.7% (562)
47.2% (142)
By Period
Turris
Talbot
P1
49.1%
52.5%
P2
51.6%
38.3%
P3
53.4%
52.3%
OT
47.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
51.3%
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2015 | 2 | 16:50 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 1 | 16:25 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 1 | 13:16 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 2 | 13:02 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 2 | 03:56 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 1 | 19:12 | Defensive | Max Talbot |