Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lucic on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 50.3% vs Lucic 46.6% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Lucic leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Lucic 73.7%
Defensive zone
Turris 68.3%
Neutral zone
Lucic 51.0%
Result
Milan Lucic favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Turris
Lucic
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Turris
Lucic
Last 10: Turris 5-5 Lucic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
3
2
Turris
Lucic
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turris
3
2
Turris
Lucic
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lucic
1
3
Turris
Lucic
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Lucic
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (7,653)
44.4% (401)
+5.8%
Power Play
52.4% (1,312)
49.5% (198)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (580)
33.3% (3)
+15.3%
On penalty kill, Turris has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lucic shoots left. Turris is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,446).
Turris shoots right. Lucic is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Home / Away
Turris
Lucic
Home
53.5% (4,794)
48.3% (317)
Away
47.1% (4,756)
43.5% (285)
By Period
Turris
Lucic
P1
51.5%
41.3%
P2
50.8%
47.9%
P3
48.4%
50.3%
OT
56.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.3%
Lucic
46.0%▬
45.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2021 | 2 | 02:20 | Neutral | Milan Lucic |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 1 | 09:19 | Defensive | Milan Lucic |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 1 | 04:52 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 3 | 10:53 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 1 | 18:21 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 11:49 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 2 | 11:54 | Neutral | Milan Lucic |
| Apr 28, 2013 | 2 | 18:40 | Offensive | Milan Lucic |
| Apr 28, 2013 | 2 | 11:36 | Defensive | Milan Lucic |
| Apr 28, 2013 | 2 | 11:34 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 3 | 15:02 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 1 | 17:27 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Milan Lucic |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 1 | 07:24 | Neutral | Milan Lucic |