Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.6%). Look for Lucic on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Turris wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Lucic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 49.1% vs Lucic 49.6% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lucic 55.0%
Defensive zone
Turris 59.0%
Neutral zone
Turris 54.7%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Turris
Lucic
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Turris
Lucic
Last 7: Turris 3-4 Lucic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lucic
1
2
Turris
Lucic
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Turris
Lucic
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Turris
Lucic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Lucic
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (648)
33.3% (24)
+17.0%
Power Play
41.1% (151)
81.8% (11)
-40.7%
On power play, Lucic has a +40.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lucic shoots left. Turris is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Turris shoots right. Lucic is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (20).
Home / Away
Turris
Lucic
Home
51.4% (453)
55.0% (20)
Away
46.7% (467)
40.0% (15)
By Period
Turris
Lucic
P1
50.7%
54.5%
P2
50.5%
35.7%
P3
45.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
35.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
49.0%
Lucic
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2013 | 2 | 18:40 | Offensive | Milan Lucic |
| Apr 28, 2013 | 2 | 11:36 | Defensive | Milan Lucic |
| Apr 28, 2013 | 2 | 11:34 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 3 | 15:02 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 1 | 17:27 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Milan Lucic |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 1 | 07:24 | Neutral | Milan Lucic |