Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 50.3% vs Thompson 52.9% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 23-12 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Turris 88.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 53.9%
Neutral zone
Turris 62.9%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Turris
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
23
(35 meetings)
12
23
Turris
Thompson
Last 10: Turris 4-6 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
6
5
Turris
Thompson
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
12
Turris
Thompson
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
4
6
Turris
Thompson
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (7,653)
54.1% (5,812)
-3.9%
Power Play
52.4% (1,312)
54.8% (135)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (580)
47.9% (1,381)
+0.7%
On even strength, Thompson has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Turris is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,446).
Turris shoots right. Thompson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Home / Away
Turris
Thompson
Home
53.5% (4,794)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
47.1% (4,756)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Turris
Thompson
P1
51.5%
53.2%
P2
50.8%
52.9%
P3
48.4%
52.8%
OT
56.0%
47.9%
Final 5 min
50.5%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.3%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2021 | 3 | 15:37 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 2 | 11:17 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 10:15 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 13, 2016 | 2 | 17:52 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 13, 2016 | 1 | 13:47 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 13, 2016 | 1 | 04:27 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 13, 2016 | 1 | 04:04 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 24, 2014 | 3 | 14:32 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 24, 2014 | 3 | 09:19 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 24, 2014 | 3 | 06:06 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 24, 2014 | 1 | 19:33 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 3 | 17:14 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 3 | 17:08 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 2 | 04:25 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 3 | 08:06 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 3 | 15:46 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 06:07 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 3 | 18:42 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |