Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Turris wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 49.1% vs Thompson 51.1% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 83.0%
Defensive zone
Thompson 53.1%
Neutral zone
Turris 72.7%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Turris
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
9
(9 meetings)
0
9
Turris
Thompson
Last 9: Turris 0-9 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Turris
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
6
Turris
Thompson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Turris
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (648)
52.6% (462)
-2.3%
Power Play
41.1% (151)
80.0% (10)
-38.9%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (121)
44.4% (133)
+7.7%
On power play, Thompson has a +38.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Turris is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Turris shoots right. Thompson is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Turris
Thompson
Home
51.4% (453)
52.5% (324)
Away
46.7% (467)
49.8% (281)
By Period
Turris
Thompson
P1
50.7%
49.0%
P2
50.5%
55.4%
P3
45.6%
48.3%
OT
55.6%
83.3%
Final 5 min
48.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
49.0%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2013 | 3 | 18:42 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 19:21 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 10:54 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 1 | 04:55 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 19:14 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 09:54 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 3 | 04:23 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 2 | 03:08 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |