Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.3% vs 50.4%). Look for Turris on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Turris wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 51.2% vs Bonino 50.4% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 78.9%
Defensive zone
Bonino 55.8%
Neutral zone
Turris 57.9%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Turris
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Turris
Bonino
Last 7: Turris 5-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
1
0
Turris
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turris
2
1
Turris
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turris
2
1
Turris
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (801)
50.2% (691)
+0.7%
Power Play
54.4% (204)
61.5% (78)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (39)
45.6% (149)
-2.0%
On power play, Bonino has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Turris is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Turris shoots right. Bonino is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Turris
Bonino
Home
55.6% (482)
52.7% (467)
Away
47.7% (562)
48.1% (451)
By Period
Turris
Bonino
P1
49.1%
48.9%
P2
51.6%
50.2%
P3
53.4%
51.7%
OT
47.1%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
51.3%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2015 | 3 | 18:48 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 3 | 08:21 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 2 | 07:46 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 1 | 18:28 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 1 | 18:20 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 1 | 12:19 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 1 | 12:12 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |