Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 47.9% vs Backstrom 49.3% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 52.4%
Defensive zone
Turris 55.6%
Neutral zone
Turris 54.2%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Turris
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Turris
Backstrom
Last 7: Turris 0-7 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
5
Turris
Backstrom
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
2
Turris
Backstrom
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (449)
50.0% (854)
-1.2%
Power Play
41.2% (51)
44.6% (148)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
50.0% (46)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Turris is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Turris shoots right. Backstrom is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (373).
Home / Away
Turris
Backstrom
Home
51.2% (252)
52.2% (506)
Away
44.0% (266)
46.5% (542)
By Period
Turris
Backstrom
P1
47.5%
45.3%
P2
43.3%
46.9%
P3
50.6%
55.5%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.4%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
47.5%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2020 | 3 | 00:35 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 2 | 01:11 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 2 | 00:45 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 1 | 04:20 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 1 | 00:58 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 1 | 00:39 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 11:54 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |