Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Turris wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 49.1% vs Jokinen 47.9% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 69.7%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 66.1%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 66.9%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 67.4%
32.6%
67.4%
Turris
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Turris
Jokinen
Last 6: Turris 1-5 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
0
2
Turris
Jokinen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
2
Turris
Jokinen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
0
1
Turris
Jokinen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (648)
46.8% (566)
+3.5%
Power Play
41.1% (151)
53.4% (58)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (121)
80.0% (5)
-27.9%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +27.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Turris is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Turris shoots right. Jokinen is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
Turris
Jokinen
Home
51.4% (453)
49.5% (319)
Away
46.7% (467)
45.7% (311)
By Period
Turris
Jokinen
P1
50.7%
49.1%
P2
50.5%
47.9%
P3
45.6%
46.4%
OT
55.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.5%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
49.0%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2013 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 3 | 05:57 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 2 | 08:04 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 2 | 01:24 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 04:00 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 09:48 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |