Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 27 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 50.3% vs Stastny 55.1% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 49-35 in 84 meetings
Offensive zone
Turris 57.2%
Defensive zone
Turris 73.3%
Neutral zone
Turris 59.8%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Turris
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
49
(84 meetings)
35
49
Turris
Stastny
Last 10: Turris 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
15
17
Turris
Stastny
32 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
12
13
Turris
Stastny
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
8
19
Turris
Stastny
27 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (7,653)
54.6% (10,616)
-4.4%
Power Play
52.4% (1,312)
59.1% (1,994)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (580)
52.9% (1,119)
-4.3%
On power play, Stastny has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Turris is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,446).
Turris shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Turris
Stastny
Home
53.5% (4,794)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
47.1% (4,756)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Turris
Stastny
P1
51.5%
56.3%
P2
50.8%
55.4%
P3
48.4%
53.5%
OT
56.0%
62.9%
Final 5 min
50.5%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 02:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 04:50 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 09:44 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 01:27 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 12:34 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 14:07 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 2 | 17:49 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 2 | 07:22 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 1 | 10:00 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 1 | 06:56 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 1 | 06:48 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 14:41 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 03:33 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 08:31 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 3 | 11:07 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 3 | 05:44 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 1 | 08:37 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 14:36 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |