Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 50.0% vs Stastny 53.0% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Turris 63.3%
Defensive zone
Turris 51.3%
Neutral zone
Turris 62.3%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 60.7%
60.7%
39.3%
Turris
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Turris
Stastny
Last 10: Turris 3-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
3
Turris
Stastny
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Turris
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
4
Turris
Stastny
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (452)
52.2% (1,107)
-1.1%
Power Play
48.1% (79)
61.0% (254)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
46.4% (138)
-26.4%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +26.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Turris is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (367).
Turris shoots right. Stastny is 59.4% vs right-shot opponents (465).
Home / Away
Turris
Stastny
Home
52.9% (261)
52.5% (785)
Away
47.3% (279)
53.9% (739)
By Period
Turris
Stastny
P1
49.7%
51.3%
P2
52.7%
55.2%
P3
47.3%
52.6%
OT
60.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
52.3%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2011 | 3 | 03:43 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 2 | 07:16 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 1 | 19:36 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 1 | 16:56 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 2 | 04:51 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 1 | 10:21 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 1 | 10:16 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 3 | 06:06 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 2 | 15:38 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 2 | 15:18 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 1 | 18:53 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |