Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 47.9% vs Stastny 54.4% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 57.0%
Defensive zone
Turris 55.7%
Neutral zone
Turris 59.1%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Turris
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Turris
Stastny
Last 6: Turris 2-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Turris
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Turris
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Turris
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (449)
53.6% (859)
-4.8%
Power Play
41.2% (51)
59.9% (202)
-18.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
55.1% (78)
-21.8%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Turris is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Turris shoots right. Stastny is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Turris
Stastny
Home
51.2% (252)
56.9% (596)
Away
44.0% (266)
52.5% (543)
By Period
Turris
Stastny
P1
47.5%
53.9%
P2
43.3%
56.2%
P3
50.6%
54.4%
OT
100.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
43.4%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
47.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 14:41 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 03:33 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 08:31 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 3 | 11:07 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 3 | 05:44 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 1 | 08:37 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |