Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 50.9%). Look for Turris on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 50.1% vs Nash 50.9% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 54.5%
Defensive zone
Turris 50.4%
Neutral zone
Turris 54.0%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Turris
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Turris
Nash
Last 8: Turris 6-2 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Turris
Nash
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turris
2
0
Turris
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turris
3
1
Turris
Nash
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (1,154)
50.1% (752)
-0.7%
Power Play
57.6% (217)
53.8% (104)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (101)
53.9% (102)
-12.3%
On penalty kill, Nash has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Turris is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (538).
Turris shoots right. Nash is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (311).
Home / Away
Turris
Nash
Home
54.7% (760)
51.0% (502)
Away
45.1% (712)
50.9% (456)
By Period
Turris
Nash
P1
54.1%
49.4%
P2
50.2%
50.9%
P3
45.2%
52.1%
OT
61.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
49.3%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.1%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2015 | 3 | 06:35 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 1 | 10:59 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 1 | 08:09 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 1 | 00:41 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 3 | 13:05 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 05:32 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 02:45 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 1 | 13:05 | Neutral | Riley Nash |