Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 49.7%). Look for Turris on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 50.3% vs Carter 49.8% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 81.2%
Defensive zone
Turris 55.9%
Neutral zone
Turris 63.0%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
Turris
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Turris
Carter
Last 8: Turris 6-2 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
4
0
Turris
Carter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Turris
Carter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (7,653)
50.1% (978)
+0.1%
Power Play
52.4% (1,312)
60.0% (15)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (580)
46.4% (138)
+2.2%
On power play, Carter has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots left. Turris is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,446).
Turris shoots right. Carter is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (404).
Home / Away
Turris
Carter
Home
53.5% (4,794)
49.0% (506)
Away
47.1% (4,756)
50.3% (632)
By Period
Turris
Carter
P1
51.5%
50.5%
P2
50.8%
48.9%
P3
48.4%
50.0%
OT
56.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.3%
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2013 | 3 | 06:19 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 2 | 16:12 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 2 | 16:07 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 1 | 00:42 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 3 | 17:32 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 1 | 10:46 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 17, 2010 | 3 | 05:26 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Oct 17, 2010 | 2 | 16:55 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |