Scouting Report
Ryan Carter holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Turris wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Carter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 49.1% vs Carter 50.8% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 56.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 57.4%
Neutral zone
Turris 61.6%
Result
Ryan Carter favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Turris
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Turris
Carter
Last 6: Turris 5-1 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
3
0
Turris
Carter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turris
2
1
Turris
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (648)
56.5% (69)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (121)
28.6% (14)
+23.5%
On penalty kill, Turris has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots left. Turris is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Turris shoots right. Carter is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (40).
Home / Away
Turris
Carter
Home
51.4% (453)
48.7% (39)
Away
46.7% (467)
54.5% (44)
By Period
Turris
Carter
P1
50.7%
37.5%
P2
50.5%
54.8%
P3
45.6%
60.7%
Final 5 min
48.5%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
49.0%
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2013 | 3 | 06:19 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 2 | 16:12 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 2 | 16:07 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 1 | 00:42 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 3 | 17:32 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 1 | 10:46 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |