Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (76% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 50.3% vs Kesler 55.9% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 40-23 in 63 meetings
Offensive zone
Turris 80.2%
Defensive zone
Turris 78.1%
Neutral zone
Turris 75.3%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Turris
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
40
(63 meetings)
23
40
Turris
Kesler
Last 10: Turris 8-2 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
9
9
Turris
Kesler
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
5
16
Turris
Kesler
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
9
15
Turris
Kesler
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (7,653)
56.4% (8,095)
-6.2%
Power Play
52.4% (1,312)
60.7% (1,437)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (580)
50.5% (1,908)
-1.9%
On power play, Kesler has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Turris is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,104).
Turris shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Home / Away
Turris
Kesler
Home
53.5% (4,794)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
47.1% (4,756)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Turris
Kesler
P1
51.5%
56.5%
P2
50.8%
55.9%
P3
48.4%
56.1%
OT
56.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.3%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2018 | 3 | 10:04 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 12, 2018 | 2 | 01:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 12, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 04:12 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 10:24 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 22, 2016 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 3 | 13:37 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 2 | 19:50 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 2 | 02:47 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 09:03 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 3 | 05:51 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 2 | 19:56 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 2 | 10:29 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 2 | 02:56 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 1 | 06:39 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 13, 2016 | 3 | 15:05 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 13, 2016 | 3 | 11:54 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |