Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 51.2% vs Kesler 58.0% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Turris 90.5%
Defensive zone
Turris 56.7%
Neutral zone
Turris 73.4%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
Turris
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
11
(14 meetings)
3
11
Turris
Kesler
Last 10: Turris 2-8 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
2
Turris
Kesler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
3
Turris
Kesler
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
6
Turris
Kesler
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (801)
58.6% (1,138)
-7.7%
Power Play
54.4% (204)
64.5% (186)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (39)
55.0% (351)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Turris is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Turris shoots right. Kesler is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Turris
Kesler
Home
55.6% (482)
61.0% (859)
Away
47.7% (562)
55.9% (816)
By Period
Turris
Kesler
P1
49.1%
59.1%
P2
51.6%
56.5%
P3
53.4%
60.5%
OT
47.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.5%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
51.3%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2016 | 3 | 15:05 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 13, 2016 | 3 | 11:54 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 13, 2016 | 3 | 03:18 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 13, 2016 | 3 | 03:11 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 13, 2016 | 3 | 00:38 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 13, 2016 | 2 | 17:14 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 13, 2016 | 2 | 13:55 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 13, 2016 | 2 | 13:45 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 13, 2016 | 2 | 11:08 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 13, 2016 | 2 | 02:01 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 13, 2016 | 1 | 19:38 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 13, 2016 | 1 | 19:30 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 13, 2016 | 1 | 07:25 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 13, 2016 | 1 | 00:40 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |