Kyle Turris vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 51.3% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.9% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 54.5%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 79.4%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 62.2%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 72.5%
27.5%
72.5%
Turris
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Turris
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Turris 1-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Turris
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
2
Turris
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (799)
48.3% (633)
+2.8%
Power Play
58.1% (62)
64.6% (48)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
43.0% (86)
+2.5%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Turris is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Turris shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Home / Away
Turris
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.5% (507)
52.0% (419)
Away
48.8% (365)
44.8% (348)
By Period
Turris
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
52.8%
51.5%
P2
54.1%
45.9%
P3
47.3%
48.1%
OT
53.8%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
51.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2018 | 3 | 06:37 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 2 | 00:45 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 1 | 15:31 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 14:45 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 11:32 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |