Scouting Report
Shawn Matthias holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthias on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Turris wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Matthias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 47.1% vs Matthias 49.5% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 59.4%
Defensive zone
Matthias 54.9%
Neutral zone
Matthias 50.8%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Turris
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Turris
Matthias
Last 7: Turris 1-6 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
0
2
Turris
Matthias
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
0
1
Turris
Matthias
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthias
1
3
Turris
Matthias
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (614)
49.4% (510)
-2.8%
Power Play
49.0% (98)
55.3% (38)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (10)
46.5% (43)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, Matthias has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Turris is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Turris shoots right. Matthias is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (207).
Home / Away
Turris
Matthias
Home
50.3% (352)
47.6% (315)
Away
43.4% (371)
51.4% (282)
By Period
Turris
Matthias
P1
48.1%
50.0%
P2
45.8%
51.9%
P3
46.5%
45.8%
OT
42.9%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
46.7%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2012 | 3 | 07:32 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 3 | 04:25 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 2 | 06:24 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 2 | 18:07 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 2 | 15:21 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 2 | 09:01 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |