Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kero on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Turris wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kero shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 52.8% vs Kero 45.4% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 68.3%
Defensive zone
Kero 74.3%
Neutral zone
Kero 53.3%
Result
Tanner Kero favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Turris
Kero
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Turris
Kero
Last 5: Turris 2-3 Kero
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Turris
Kero
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kero
1
2
Turris
Kero
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Kero
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (942)
45.9% (434)
+6.8%
Power Play
54.9% (226)
50.0% (2)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (57)
25.7% (35)
+26.9%
On penalty kill, Turris has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kero shoots left. Turris is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (891).
Turris shoots right. Kero is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Home / Away
Turris
Kero
Home
56.3% (627)
47.7% (214)
Away
49.7% (598)
41.6% (257)
By Period
Turris
Kero
P1
50.4%
44.4%
P2
53.9%
48.5%
P3
54.9%
39.4%
Final 5 min
48.5%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
53.1%
Kero
62.0%▲
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 13:07 | Defensive | Tanner Kero |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 05:44 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 02:29 | Offensive | Tanner Kero |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 1 | 04:24 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 1 | 01:31 | Defensive | Tanner Kero |