Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 50.3% vs Smith 48.7% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Turris leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Turris 80.4%
Defensive zone
Smith 54.4%
Neutral zone
Turris 64.2%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Turris
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
9
(23 meetings)
14
9
Turris
Smith
Last 10: Turris 6-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
8
1
Turris
Smith
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
4
6
Turris
Smith
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Turris
Smith
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (7,653)
49.0% (769)
+1.2%
Power Play
52.4% (1,312)
63.6% (22)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (580)
42.4% (118)
+6.2%
On power play, Smith has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Turris is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,446).
Turris shoots right. Smith is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Turris
Smith
Home
53.5% (4,794)
52.4% (490)
Away
47.1% (4,756)
44.0% (420)
By Period
Turris
Smith
P1
51.5%
46.9%
P2
50.8%
51.2%
P3
48.4%
47.7%
OT
56.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.3%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 18:27 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 18:24 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 12:40 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 11:17 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 06:32 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 3 | 14:29 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 3 | 11:41 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 07:16 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 1 | 09:55 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 1 | 06:34 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 1 | 06:11 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 1 | 03:14 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 2 | 15:26 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 1 | 16:17 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 1 | 16:07 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 9, 2014 | 2 | 03:06 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 2 | 19:39 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 2 | 04:25 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 1 | 19:11 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |