Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 50.6% vs Smith 46.1% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 68.2%
Defensive zone
Turris 67.1%
Neutral zone
Turris 78.7%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Turris
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Turris
Smith
Last 6: Turris 4-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Turris
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turris
2
0
Turris
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turris
2
1
Turris
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (1,083)
44.7% (244)
+4.8%
Power Play
55.1% (156)
33.3% (6)
+21.8%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (190)
50.0% (8)
+3.7%
On power play, Turris has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Turris is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (942).
Turris shoots right. Smith is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Turris
Smith
Home
53.6% (703)
51.3% (158)
Away
47.8% (726)
34.0% (100)
By Period
Turris
Smith
P1
54.3%
37.2%
P2
48.3%
53.9%
P3
49.1%
40.8%
OT
56.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.7%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2013 | 2 | 19:39 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 2 | 04:25 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 1 | 19:11 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 1 | 16:13 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 1 | 09:44 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |