Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 50.7% vs Karlsson 47.8% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 54.0%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 77.3%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 60.4%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Turris
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Turris
Karlsson
Last 7: Turris 2-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Turris
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Turris
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Turris
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (505)
47.4% (1,012)
+2.7%
Power Play
56.8% (44)
45.6% (136)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
53.5% (86)
+21.5%
On penalty kill, Turris has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Turris is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (337).
Turris shoots right. Karlsson is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (364).
Home / Away
Turris
Karlsson
Home
52.6% (274)
47.7% (658)
Away
49.1% (279)
47.6% (576)
By Period
Turris
Karlsson
P1
53.0%
46.6%
P2
55.3%
47.2%
P3
42.8%
49.1%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 11:51 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 10:53 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 06:23 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 03:13 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 3 | 00:37 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 12:24 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 1 | 19:30 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |