Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 47.9% vs Smith 47.6% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 59.4%
Defensive zone
Smith 52.4%
Neutral zone
Turris 59.7%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Turris
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Turris
Smith
Last 5: Turris 3-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Turris
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turris
1
0
Turris
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Turris
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (449)
47.8% (178)
+1.0%
Power Play
41.2% (51)
0.0% (2)
+41.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
30.0% (10)
+3.3%
On power play, Turris has a +41.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Turris is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Turris shoots right. Smith is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (77).
Home / Away
Turris
Smith
Home
51.2% (252)
46.5% (86)
Away
44.0% (266)
46.2% (104)
By Period
Turris
Smith
P1
47.5%
61.4%
P2
43.3%
39.4%
P3
50.6%
39.3%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.4%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
47.5%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 14:25 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 03:09 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 1 | 07:59 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 11:39 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 02:32 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |