Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.8% vs 52.4%). Look for Wellwood on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Wellwood wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Goc shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wellwood 52.3% vs Goc 52.3% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Wellwood leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Wellwood 83.3%
Defensive zone
Goc 73.5%
Neutral zone
Wellwood 50.7%
Result
Kyle Wellwood favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Wellwood
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Wellwood
Goc
Last 10: Wellwood 7-3 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wellwood
6
0
Wellwood
Goc
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
1
3
Wellwood
Goc
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Wellwood
Goc
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wellwood
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (369)
53.0% (3,301)
-2.3%
Power Play
61.4% (88)
58.0% (314)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
47.4% (728)
+2.6%
On power play, Wellwood has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Wellwood is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Wellwood shoots right. Goc is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,607).
Home / Away
Wellwood
Goc
Home
54.7% (243)
53.9% (2,079)
Away
50.7% (217)
51.0% (2,296)
By Period
Wellwood
Goc
P1
46.2%
51.9%
P2
59.6%
53.1%
P3
51.7%
52.4%
OT
60.0%
44.9%
Final 5 min
47.1%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wellwood
54.0%▼
58.0%
52.8%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Wellwood |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | Kyle Wellwood |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 1 | 01:42 | Defensive | Kyle Wellwood |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 00:29 | Offensive | Kyle Wellwood |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 2 | 17:47 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 19:35 | Offensive | Kyle Wellwood |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Kyle Wellwood |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 11:19 | Offensive | Kyle Wellwood |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 3 | 15:43 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 3 | 07:35 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 31, 2011 | OT | 04:42 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 2 | 15:33 | Offensive | Kyle Wellwood |