Scouting Report
Kyle Wellwood holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Wellwood wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wellwood 52.3% vs Stajan 49.4% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wellwood 83.1%
Defensive zone
Stajan 85.1%
Neutral zone
Stajan 53.8%
Result
Kyle Wellwood favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Wellwood
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Wellwood
Stajan
Last 7: Wellwood 3-4 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Wellwood
Stajan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
2
Wellwood
Stajan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wellwood
1
0
Wellwood
Stajan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wellwood
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (369)
50.2% (4,944)
+0.5%
Power Play
61.4% (88)
43.2% (176)
+18.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
46.1% (864)
+3.9%
On power play, Wellwood has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Wellwood is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Wellwood shoots right. Stajan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,026).
Home / Away
Wellwood
Stajan
Home
54.7% (243)
51.3% (3,098)
Away
50.7% (217)
47.3% (2,892)
By Period
Wellwood
Stajan
P1
46.2%
50.3%
P2
59.6%
48.5%
P3
51.7%
49.4%
OT
60.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
47.1%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wellwood
54.0%▼
58.0%
52.8%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2012 | 3 | 19:16 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 9, 2012 | 3 | 16:48 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 9, 2012 | 3 | 06:04 | Offensive | Kyle Wellwood |
| Mar 9, 2012 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 9, 2012 | 2 | 14:06 | Offensive | Kyle Wellwood |
| Mar 9, 2012 | 1 | 14:26 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 2 | 17:30 | Neutral | Kyle Wellwood |