Scouting Report
Kyle Wellwood holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Wellwood wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wellwood 52.9% vs Stajan 51.6% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wellwood 76.7%
Defensive zone
Stajan 86.0%
Neutral zone
Stajan 55.5%
Result
Kyle Wellwood favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Wellwood
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Wellwood
Stajan
Last 6: Wellwood 2-4 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Wellwood
Stajan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
2
Wellwood
Stajan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wellwood
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (184)
53.0% (509)
-0.8%
Power Play
58.7% (63)
41.4% (29)
+17.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
48.0% (98)
+2.0%
On power play, Wellwood has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Wellwood is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Wellwood shoots right. Stajan is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (197).
Home / Away
Wellwood
Stajan
Home
57.4% (141)
53.8% (353)
Away
49.5% (109)
49.3% (286)
By Period
Wellwood
Stajan
P1
44.3%
52.0%
P2
63.6%
52.0%
P3
53.2%
51.0%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wellwood
54.0%▼
58.0%
54.0%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2012 | 3 | 19:16 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 9, 2012 | 3 | 16:48 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 9, 2012 | 3 | 06:04 | Offensive | Kyle Wellwood |
| Mar 9, 2012 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 9, 2012 | 2 | 14:06 | Offensive | Kyle Wellwood |
| Mar 9, 2012 | 1 | 14:26 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |