Scouting Report
Rod Pelley holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pelley on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bouma wins 38.3% vs left-shot opponents — Pelley shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bouma 39.5% vs Pelley 51.0% (-16.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pelley 56.8%
Defensive zone
Pelley 78.7%
Neutral zone
Pelley 73.0%
Result
Rod Pelley favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Bouma
Pelley
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Bouma
Pelley
Last 5: Bouma 3-2 Pelley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bouma
2
0
Bouma
Pelley
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pelley
1
2
Bouma
Pelley
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bouma
Pelley
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (205)
51.4% (440)
-13.4%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
25.0% (8)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (33)
50.8% (118)
-32.6%
On penalty kill, Pelley has a +32.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pelley shoots left. Bouma is 38.3% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Bouma shoots left. Pelley is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Bouma
Pelley
Home
37.4% (139)
52.9% (221)
Away
32.0% (103)
50.1% (353)
By Period
Bouma
Pelley
P1
39.8%
50.8%
P2
32.2%
49.3%
P3
32.7%
53.8%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
29.6%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bouma
42.0%▲
36.0%
35.1%
Pelley
50.0%▬
49.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 05:43 | Offensive | Lance Bouma |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 13:33 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 09:11 | Offensive | Lance Bouma |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 02:18 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 02:10 | Neutral | Lance Bouma |