Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 49.2%). Look for Pelley on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bouma 50.0% vs Pelley 49.4% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bouma 53.5%
Defensive zone
Bouma 52.4%
Neutral zone
Pelley 56.4%
Result
Rod Pelley favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Bouma
Pelley
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Bouma
Pelley
Last 5: Bouma 3-2 Pelley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bouma
2
0
Bouma
Pelley
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pelley
1
2
Bouma
Pelley
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bouma
Pelley
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (18)
49.6% (232)
+6.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
0.0% (4)
+100.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
53.3% (15)
-53.3%
On power play, Bouma has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pelley shoots left. Bouma is 62.5% vs left-shot opponents (16).
Bouma shoots left. Pelley is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Bouma
Pelley
Home
38.9% (18)
50.0% (94)
Away
100.0% (4)
48.8% (160)
By Period
Bouma
Pelley
P1
77.8%
46.0%
P2
25.0%
49.0%
P3
40.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
25.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bouma
42.0%▲
36.0%
50.0%
Pelley
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 05:43 | Offensive | Lance Bouma |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 13:33 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 09:11 | Offensive | Lance Bouma |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 02:18 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 02:10 | Neutral | Lance Bouma |