Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +24.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Ferraro wins 28.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ferraro 42.5% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-24.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ferraro 96.0%
Defensive zone
Ferraro 60.2%
Neutral zone
Ferraro 86.1%
Result
Landon Ferraro favored at 72.7%
72.7%
27.3%
Ferraro
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Ferraro
Gaustad
Last 7: Ferraro 0-7 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Ferraro
Gaustad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
4
Ferraro
Gaustad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
2
Ferraro
Gaustad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ferraro
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (82)
58.2% (4,334)
-22.8%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
65.4% (188)
-65.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
54.8% (1,290)
-54.8%
On power play, Gaustad has a +65.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Ferraro is 28.1% vs left-shot opponents (57).
Ferraro shoots right. Gaustad is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,052).
Home / Away
Ferraro
Gaustad
Home
31.7% (63)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
39.1% (23)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Ferraro
Gaustad
P1
21.9%
58.2%
P2
46.4%
56.4%
P3
36.0%
58.3%
OT
0.0%
66.0%
Final 5 min
35.7%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ferraro
36.0%▲
33.7%
33.7%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 08:41 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 3 | 09:43 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 3 | 08:19 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 1 | 11:50 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 1 | 05:28 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 1 | 02:11 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |