Scouting Report
Lane Pederson holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Marleau on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pederson wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Marleau shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pederson 50.0% vs Marleau 47.8% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marleau 60.8%
Defensive zone
Marleau 64.4%
Neutral zone
Marleau 60.2%
Result
Patrick Marleau favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Pederson
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Pederson
Marleau
Last 7: Pederson 1-6 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pederson
Marleau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
2
Pederson
Marleau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
3
Pederson
Marleau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pederson
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (70)
46.0% (274)
+5.4%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
57.1% (14)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
58.3% (12)
-58.3%
On penalty kill, Marleau has a +58.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Pederson is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Pederson shoots right. Marleau is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Pederson
Marleau
Home
55.3% (38)
46.9% (209)
Away
45.0% (40)
47.3% (91)
By Period
Pederson
Marleau
P1
38.7%
51.0%
P2
62.5%
47.1%
P3
52.2%
43.8%
Final 5 min
30.8%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pederson
46.0%▼
49.0%
50.0%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2021 | 3 | 12:35 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| May 7, 2021 | 2 | 03:30 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| May 7, 2021 | 2 | 00:39 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 11:28 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 09:15 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 02:02 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 01:54 | Offensive | Lane Pederson |