Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Loktionov wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Loktionov 43.5% vs Eller 52.9% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Loktionov 91.4%
Defensive zone
Loktionov 77.4%
Neutral zone
Loktionov 82.9%
Result
Andrei Loktionov favored at 83.4%
83.4%
16.6%
Loktionov
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Loktionov
Eller
Last 6: Loktionov 0-6 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Loktionov
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Loktionov
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
4
Loktionov
Eller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Loktionov
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (335)
53.3% (803)
-11.5%
Power Play
46.7% (30)
55.8% (86)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
50.0% (90)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Loktionov is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Loktionov shoots left. Eller is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
Loktionov
Eller
Home
45.1% (153)
52.8% (525)
Away
39.4% (216)
53.7% (454)
By Period
Loktionov
Eller
P1
41.8%
53.9%
P2
38.4%
54.8%
P3
45.0%
50.9%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Loktionov
36.0%▼
41.0%
41.7%
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2013 | 1 | 08:58 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 4, 2013 | 1 | 09:04 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 3 | 11:40 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 3 | 04:15 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 2 | 08:49 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 2 | 05:33 | Defensive | Lars Eller |