Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Eller 50.5% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 67.0%
Defensive zone
Smith 63.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 50.9%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Smith
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Smith
Eller
Last 9: Smith 5-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Smith
Eller
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
0
Smith
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Smith
Eller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
51.0% (10,168)
+2.7%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
52.8% (621)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
46.7% (1,740)
-1.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Smith is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Smith shoots right. Eller is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,547).
Home / Away
Smith
Eller
Home
53.8% (860)
51.4% (6,057)
Away
49.8% (805)
49.7% (6,500)
By Period
Smith
Eller
P1
52.1%
51.2%
P2
50.2%
50.0%
P3
53.3%
50.2%
OT
62.5%
56.7%
Final 5 min
53.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 11:50 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 07:08 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 07:04 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 2 | 05:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 2 | 02:09 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 10:45 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 2, 2015 | 2 | 05:48 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 1 | 18:38 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 1 | 12:42 | Neutral | Ben Smith |