Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.2% vs Eller 47.4% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 77.8%
Defensive zone
Smith 71.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 53.3%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 68.0%
32.0%
68.0%
Smith
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Smith
Eller
Last 5: Smith 2-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
2
Smith
Eller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Smith
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (321)
48.9% (701)
+5.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
62.5% (8)
+37.5%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (146)
39.1% (174)
+5.4%
On power play, Smith has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Smith is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Smith shoots right. Eller is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
Smith
Eller
Home
54.0% (274)
47.5% (421)
Away
47.9% (194)
46.8% (462)
By Period
Smith
Eller
P1
51.7%
47.8%
P2
51.7%
47.3%
P3
51.0%
46.1%
Final 5 min
59.2%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.5%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 11:50 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 07:08 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 07:04 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 2 | 05:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 2 | 02:09 | Offensive | Ben Smith |