Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Schwindt wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwindt 50.3% vs Eller 51.9% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schwindt 73.5%
Defensive zone
Schwindt 52.2%
Neutral zone
Schwindt 53.9%
Result
Cole Schwindt favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Schwindt
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Schwindt
Eller
Last 8: Schwindt 2-6 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schwindt
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
5
Schwindt
Eller
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwindt
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (209)
52.8% (650)
-3.0%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
69.2% (13)
-19.2%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
45.5% (88)
+25.9%
On penalty kill, Schwindt has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Schwindt is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (156).
Schwindt shoots right. Eller is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Schwindt
Eller
Home
47.2% (123)
52.6% (340)
Away
54.7% (95)
51.8% (411)
By Period
Schwindt
Eller
P1
50.8%
52.4%
P2
51.2%
54.1%
P3
49.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.8%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwindt
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.5%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 12:02 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 11:54 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 08:24 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 02:49 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 1 | 04:30 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 1 | 04:23 | Defensive | Cole Schwindt |