Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 50.2% vs Eller 52.9% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fraser 59.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 55.0%
Neutral zone
Fraser 51.6%
Result
Colin Fraser favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Fraser
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Fraser
Eller
Last 5: Fraser 2-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Fraser
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fraser
2
0
Fraser
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Fraser
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (162)
53.3% (803)
-3.9%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
55.8% (86)
+27.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
50.0% (90)
-10.0%
On power play, Fraser has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Fraser is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Fraser shoots left. Eller is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
Fraser
Eller
Home
50.0% (84)
52.8% (525)
Away
50.6% (89)
53.7% (454)
By Period
Fraser
Eller
P1
53.9%
53.9%
P2
51.6%
54.8%
P3
40.0%
50.9%
Final 5 min
43.2%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 01:54 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 12:51 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 12:41 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 1 | 09:59 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 1 | 09:52 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |