Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 48.3% vs Eller 50.3% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 60.4%
Defensive zone
Lazar 62.3%
Neutral zone
Lazar 52.7%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Lazar
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Lazar
Eller
Last 8: Lazar 4-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
2
Lazar
Eller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
2
Lazar
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (272)
49.4% (518)
+0.2%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
57.6% (33)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
52.8% (108)
-16.0%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Lazar is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (227).
Lazar shoots right. Eller is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Home / Away
Lazar
Eller
Home
47.8% (157)
49.0% (304)
Away
47.8% (178)
51.5% (355)
By Period
Lazar
Eller
P1
41.7%
55.5%
P2
50.8%
44.0%
P3
50.0%
53.2%
OT
75.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
45.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
47.8%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2021 | 2 | 01:17 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 03:48 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 3 | 13:40 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 2 | 18:05 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 1 | 10:18 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 04:22 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 07:05 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 01:41 | Neutral | Lars Eller |