Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 48.4% vs Eller 52.0% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 82.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 58.0%
Neutral zone
McCann 64.4%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
McCann
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
McCann
Eller
Last 5: McCann 1-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McCann
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
McCann
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
McCann
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (260)
52.8% (742)
-4.0%
Power Play
37.0% (27)
67.6% (34)
-30.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
46.2% (156)
+3.8%
On power play, Eller has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. McCann is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (196).
McCann shoots left. Eller is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
McCann
Eller
Home
51.0% (143)
54.5% (448)
Away
45.1% (164)
50.2% (484)
By Period
McCann
Eller
P1
53.6%
52.8%
P2
52.0%
50.9%
P3
37.6%
53.4%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.7%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.9%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 09:19 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:58 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 05:26 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 05:12 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 17:03 | Offensive | Lars Eller |