Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). McCann wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 43.0% vs Eller 50.5% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
McCann leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 51.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 81.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 70.2%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 69.9%
30.1%
69.9%
McCann
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
11
(23 meetings)
12
11
McCann
Eller
Last 10: McCann 3-7 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
4
2
McCann
Eller
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
6
McCann
Eller
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCann
5
3
McCann
Eller
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (3,178)
51.1% (10,296)
-8.0%
Power Play
40.0% (260)
52.8% (621)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (173)
46.7% (1,751)
-4.5%
On power play, Eller has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. McCann is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,303).
McCann shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Home / Away
McCann
Eller
Home
43.1% (1,758)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
42.5% (1,855)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
McCann
Eller
P1
44.4%
51.2%
P2
41.7%
50.1%
P3
42.7%
50.2%
OT
36.4%
56.7%
Final 5 min
41.5%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 09:19 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:58 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 05:26 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 05:12 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 17:03 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 08:40 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 06:32 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 17, 2021 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 3 | 03:47 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 18:21 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 1 | 01:45 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Oct 19, 2018 | 2 | 07:39 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Oct 19, 2018 | 2 | 01:11 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 19, 2018 | 2 | 00:57 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 2 | 18:13 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 1 | 11:27 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 16:22 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 06:53 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 06:45 | Neutral | Lars Eller |