Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Williams wins 38.7% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Williams 47.2% vs Eller 49.3% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Williams 68.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 67.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 51.6%
Result
Justin Williams favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Williams
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Williams
Eller
Last 5: Williams 2-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
3
Williams
Eller
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Williams
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (103)
50.1% (749)
-6.4%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
46.1% (76)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
46.6% (131)
-46.6%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +46.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Williams is 38.7% vs left-shot opponents (75).
Williams shoots right. Eller is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Williams
Eller
Home
45.0% (60)
51.4% (465)
Away
44.6% (56)
47.3% (491)
By Period
Williams
Eller
P1
50.0%
47.9%
P2
47.5%
51.6%
P3
36.4%
47.7%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
54.2%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Williams
34.0%▼
37.0%
44.8%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2018 | 2 | 08:45 | Offensive | Justin Williams |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 3 | 03:32 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 2 | 15:58 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 1 | 02:14 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 11:10 | Offensive | Justin Williams |