Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Williams wins 37.5% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Williams 41.5% vs Eller 49.0% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Williams 93.5%
Defensive zone
Williams 65.1%
Neutral zone
Williams 79.3%
Result
Justin Williams favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Williams
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Williams
Eller
Last 5: Williams 0-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
4
Williams
Eller
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Williams
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Williams
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
35.5% (155)
49.9% (821)
-14.4%
Power Play
41.2% (85)
52.7% (74)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
43.9% (214)
+56.1%
On penalty kill, Williams has a +56.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Williams is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Williams shoots right. Eller is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Williams
Eller
Home
39.5% (114)
49.4% (559)
Away
36.7% (128)
48.5% (550)
By Period
Williams
Eller
P1
28.6%
50.1%
P2
35.8%
46.7%
P3
48.8%
49.9%
Final 5 min
34.0%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Williams
34.0%▼
37.0%
38.0%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2019 | 3 | 15:45 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 16:12 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 09:04 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 1 | 11:45 | Defensive | Lars Eller |