Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Eller wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kunin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.7% vs Kunin 51.1% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 57.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 61.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 55.2%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Eller
Kunin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Eller
Kunin
Last 9: Eller 5-4 Kunin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
1
2
Eller
Kunin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
4
2
Eller
Kunin
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Kunin
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (434)
52.7% (260)
+3.8%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
62.5% (8)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
43.6% (55)
+12.9%
On power play, Eller has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kunin shoots right. Eller is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Eller shoots left. Kunin is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Home / Away
Eller
Kunin
Home
53.1% (211)
51.7% (151)
Away
59.7% (278)
51.2% (172)
By Period
Eller
Kunin
P1
55.4%
55.1%
P2
58.1%
55.3%
P3
57.1%
43.1%
Final 5 min
60.5%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 17:35 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 15:24 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 09:10 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 01:46 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:49 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:33 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 09:54 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 01:55 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 01:48 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |