Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Eller wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Goc shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 47.0% vs Goc 51.5% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goc 66.2%
Defensive zone
Goc 79.9%
Neutral zone
Goc 65.7%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 71.1%
28.9%
71.1%
Eller
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Eller
Goc
Last 8: Eller 5-3 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Goc
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
Goc
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
Goc
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (588)
52.3% (727)
-6.6%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
63.8% (69)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (63)
44.0% (159)
+6.8%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Eller is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (434).
Eller shoots left. Goc is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Eller
Goc
Home
48.3% (329)
54.7% (468)
Away
44.9% (356)
48.8% (510)
By Period
Eller
Goc
P1
50.0%
48.9%
P2
41.3%
53.0%
P3
47.4%
52.4%
OT
50.0%
60.9%
Final 5 min
46.3%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2012 | 3 | 12:22 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 3 | 07:23 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 3 | 05:09 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 2 | 17:32 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 1 | 08:22 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 24, 2011 | 2 | 05:17 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 24, 2011 | 1 | 18:59 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 24, 2011 | 1 | 17:11 | Offensive | Lars Eller |