Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansson on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Eller wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Johansson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 47.0% vs Johansson 44.1% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansson 76.5%
Defensive zone
Johansson 54.6%
Neutral zone
Johansson 62.6%
Result
Marcus Johansson favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Eller
Johansson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Eller
Johansson
Last 7: Eller 2-5 Johansson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Johansson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansson
1
4
Eller
Johansson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Johansson
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (588)
43.2% (576)
+2.5%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
42.9% (112)
+18.2%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (63)
28.6% (7)
+22.2%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansson shoots left. Eller is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (434).
Eller shoots left. Johansson is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Eller
Johansson
Home
48.3% (329)
44.2% (360)
Away
44.9% (356)
42.3% (350)
By Period
Eller
Johansson
P1
50.0%
46.2%
P2
41.3%
42.6%
P3
47.4%
41.3%
OT
50.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
46.3%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
43.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 13:45 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 3 | 11:26 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 2 | 05:07 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 2 | 04:56 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 1 | 15:06 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |