Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 50.9%). Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Arcobello 50.9% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Arcobello 72.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 67.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 52.7%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Eller
Arcobello
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
10
(21 meetings)
11
10
Eller
Arcobello
Last 10: Eller 4-6 Arcobello
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arcobello
2
5
Eller
Arcobello
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Eller
Arcobello
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
5
1
Eller
Arcobello
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Arcobello
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
50.6% (1,408)
+0.5%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
60.8% (130)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
36.8% (57)
+9.9%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arcobello shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Eller shoots left. Arcobello is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,067).
Home / Away
Eller
Arcobello
Home
51.4% (6,118)
53.2% (745)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
48.9% (850)
By Period
Eller
Arcobello
P1
51.2%
53.2%
P2
50.1%
51.3%
P3
50.2%
48.4%
OT
56.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2016 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 05:59 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 01:11 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 02:25 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 27, 2014 | 3 | 17:42 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 27, 2014 | 3 | 16:05 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Oct 27, 2014 | 3 | 08:38 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Oct 27, 2014 | 3 | 08:28 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 27, 2014 | 2 | 15:17 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Oct 27, 2014 | 2 | 09:41 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Oct 27, 2014 | 2 | 09:34 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Oct 27, 2014 | 1 | 11:01 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Oct 27, 2014 | 1 | 08:18 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 2 | 06:21 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 1 | 10:23 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 3 | 12:15 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 2 | 17:32 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 1 | 11:06 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |