Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Eller wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Arcobello shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.9% vs Arcobello 50.8% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 51.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 68.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 61.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Eller
Arcobello
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Eller
Arcobello
Last 8: Eller 6-2 Arcobello
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arcobello
1
2
Eller
Arcobello
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Arcobello
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
3
0
Eller
Arcobello
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Arcobello
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (803)
52.6% (344)
+0.7%
Power Play
55.8% (86)
46.9% (32)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (90)
35.7% (28)
+14.3%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arcobello shoots right. Eller is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Eller shoots left. Arcobello is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Eller
Arcobello
Home
52.8% (525)
53.8% (173)
Away
53.7% (454)
48.9% (231)
By Period
Eller
Arcobello
P1
53.9%
51.6%
P2
54.8%
50.7%
P3
50.9%
51.1%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.2%
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 2 | 06:21 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 1 | 10:23 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 3 | 12:15 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 2 | 17:32 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 1 | 11:06 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 1 | 10:59 | Defensive | Lars Eller |