Scouting Report
Mathieu Perreault holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Eller wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Perreault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 47.4% vs Perreault 50.9% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Perreault 64.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 59.8%
Neutral zone
Perreault 52.9%
Result
Mathieu Perreault favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Eller
Perreault
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Eller
Perreault
Last 7: Eller 4-3 Perreault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Eller
Perreault
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
Perreault
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Perreault
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (701)
47.6% (147)
+1.3%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
63.4% (41)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (174)
100.0% (1)
-60.9%
On penalty kill, Perreault has a +60.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Perreault shoots left. Eller is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Eller shoots left. Perreault is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Eller
Perreault
Home
47.5% (421)
57.0% (121)
Away
46.8% (462)
41.2% (68)
By Period
Eller
Perreault
P1
47.8%
56.9%
P2
47.3%
42.1%
P3
46.1%
53.4%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.0%
61.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
47.1%
Perreault
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 09:45 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 19:16 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 14:38 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 07:10 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 04:49 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 04:34 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 01:31 | Offensive | Lars Eller |