Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Eller wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 47.4% vs Stajan 50.1% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stajan 50.4%
Defensive zone
Stajan 78.5%
Neutral zone
Stajan 68.8%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 63.4%
36.6%
63.4%
Eller
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Eller
Stajan
Last 10: Eller 8-2 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
4
0
Eller
Stajan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Stajan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
3
1
Eller
Stajan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (701)
50.9% (627)
-2.0%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
40.0% (15)
+22.5%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (174)
47.6% (126)
-8.5%
On power play, Eller has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Eller is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Eller shoots left. Stajan is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Home / Away
Eller
Stajan
Home
47.5% (421)
52.4% (401)
Away
46.8% (462)
47.7% (367)
By Period
Eller
Stajan
P1
47.8%
56.3%
P2
47.3%
45.5%
P3
46.1%
48.9%
Final 5 min
45.0%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
47.1%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 11:02 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 1 | 19:11 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 1 | 16:44 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 1 | 10:24 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 1 | 10:06 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 1 | 06:47 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 3 | 19:35 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 3 | 13:39 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 1 | 18:05 | Offensive | Lars Eller |