Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Amadio 47.4% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 52.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 83.5%
Neutral zone
Eller 68.3%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 69.6%
69.6%
30.4%
Eller
Amadio
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
8
(20 meetings)
12
8
Eller
Amadio
Last 10: Eller 7-3 Amadio
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
4
2
Eller
Amadio
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
6
2
Eller
Amadio
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Amadio
2
4
Eller
Amadio
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Amadio
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
47.3% (1,363)
+3.8%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
50.9% (57)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
34.8% (23)
+11.9%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Amadio shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Eller shoots left. Amadio is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,045).
Home / Away
Eller
Amadio
Home
51.4% (6,118)
47.3% (656)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
47.3% (787)
By Period
Eller
Amadio
P1
51.2%
50.5%
P2
50.1%
44.8%
P3
50.2%
46.7%
Final 5 min
49.6%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Amadio
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 11:39 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 3 | 11:15 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 2 | 17:57 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 2 | 09:05 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 2 | 08:58 | Defensive | Michael Amadio |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 05:43 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 18:14 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Dec 4, 2019 | 3 | 18:41 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 4, 2019 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 4, 2019 | 2 | 13:29 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 11, 2019 | 2 | 13:09 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 11, 2019 | 1 | 15:38 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Feb 11, 2019 | 1 | 05:45 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 11, 2019 | 1 | 05:38 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 01:44 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 05:59 | Defensive | Michael Amadio |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 05:52 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 02:09 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 15:25 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 11:30 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |