Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Raffl on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.7% vs Raffl 50.2% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raffl 69.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 71.6%
Neutral zone
Raffl 52.7%
Result
Michael Raffl favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Eller
Raffl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Eller
Raffl
Last 8: Eller 2-6 Raffl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raffl
0
1
Eller
Raffl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Raffl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raffl
1
5
Eller
Raffl
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Raffl
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (769)
49.7% (183)
+3.1%
Power Play
54.7% (75)
50.0% (2)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (188)
58.3% (12)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, Raffl has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Raffl shoots left. Eller is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Eller shoots left. Raffl is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Home / Away
Eller
Raffl
Home
51.3% (513)
52.1% (94)
Away
52.5% (520)
48.5% (103)
By Period
Eller
Raffl
P1
50.3%
51.6%
P2
52.8%
47.3%
P3
51.4%
53.4%
OT
87.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
51.9%
Raffl
56.0%▲
50.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2020 | 3 | 17:04 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 8, 2020 | 3 | 01:29 | Offensive | Michael Raffl |
| Jan 8, 2020 | 2 | 17:59 | Neutral | Michael Raffl |
| Jan 8, 2020 | 2 | 09:28 | Neutral | Michael Raffl |
| Jan 8, 2020 | 2 | 01:04 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 8, 2020 | 1 | 12:34 | Neutral | Michael Raffl |
| Jan 8, 2020 | 1 | 05:19 | Neutral | Michael Raffl |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 2 | 04:15 | Neutral | Michael Raffl |